Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Referee: Tattersall E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	New Mexico United		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.08	3.64	3.24
	2.07	3.63	3.26	Watch
	2.07	3.61	3.24	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	3.16 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
44.8%

Draw
25.9%

Memphis 901
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

New Mexico United - Memphis 901 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Memphis will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 22. Ryden K. (C) 12. Maples T. 3. Gloster C. 8. Hernandez D. 91. Houssou N. 19. Bailey Z. 11. Akale M. 20. Reyes J. 17. Hurst G.	1. Deric T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 2. Tulu 91. Cissoko A. 14. Ward A. (C) 5. Careaga S. 6. Duncan Z. 7. Meza N. 10. Lapa B. 23. Paul L. 99. Bakero J.
Substitutes
25. Bruce D. 27. Flanagan A. 4. Herbert A. 54. Lozano-Villa D. 10. Micaletto M. 7. Rivas S. 42. Sais J. 13. Shakes K. (G) 18. Vargas M.	21. Armenakas P. 22. Henry T. (G) 11. Marlon 9. Nascimento L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A. 8. Turci L.
Coaches
Quill E.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Bakero J. ⚽, Lapa B. (A),
17', Tulu 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Seymore W. (A),
25', 1 - 2, Careaga S. ⚽, Lapa B. (A),
43', Glass S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Meza N. ↓, Turci L. ↑,
55', Bakero J. ↓, Marlon ↑,
60', Ryden K. 🟨,
63', 1 - 3, Turci L. ⚽, Paul L. (A),
67', Reyes J. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
67', Bailey Z. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
67', Hernandez D. ↓, Flanagan A. ↑,
67', Akale M. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
76', Hurst G. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
77', Lapa B. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
84', Careaga S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
84', Jimenez O. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Vargas M. ⚽, Flanagan A. (A),
90+9', Cissoko A. 🟨,

Preview

New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Memphis is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
19.10.24	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Tulsa - New Mexico United	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
22.09.24	New Mexico United - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLLW
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
19.10.24	Phoenix Rising - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Memphis 901 - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Memphis 901 - Oakland Roots	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Louisville City - Memphis 901	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Memphis 901 - North Carolina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.06.24	Memphis 901 - New Mexico United	2:1
13.10.23	New Mexico United - Memphis 901	4:1
17.08.22	New Mexico United - Memphis 901	0:2

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