The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tulsa 48.7%
Draw 25.9%
New Mexico United 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
28%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
27.3%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tulsa's performance.
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tulsa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tulsa - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Jacomen D. (C) 23. Eisner W. 98. Ian 4. Pierre D. 15. Batista L. 12. Stauffer L. 66. Wilson W. 8. Webber J. 13. Kocevski J. 9. Ordonez A. 14. Dorsey L.
13. Shakes K. (G) 27. Howell M. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 28. Wilkerson C. 11. Nava C. 14. Dennis C. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
7. Cabral R. 91. Cissoko A. 2. Damm O. 6. Diallo B. 22. Lukic S. 44. Sangwa J. 27. Siranga Z. 1. Tambakis A. (G)
29. Archimede L. 24. Blackett T. 17. LaCava J. 21. Noel V. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 6. Zelalem G.
Coaches
Spencer L.
Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Wilson W. ⚽,
45+2', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Howell M. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
50', Eisner W. 🟨,
54', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
57', Webber J. 🟨,
59', Wilkerson C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
59', Nava C. ↓, Blackett T. ↑,
63', Wilson W. ↓, Damm O. ↑,
68', Dennis C. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
69', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
74', Ian 🟨,
78', Ordonez A. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
78', Ian ↓, Sangwa J. ↑,
86', Dorsey L. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
86', Webber J. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
90+1', Archimede L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
New Mexico may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tulsa has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tulsa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tulsa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tulsa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2.4:1.2 per game).
Brazil
North-central-america
Usa
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Jacomen D. (C) 
Ian 
Pierre D. 
Wilson W. 
Webber J. 
Ordonez A. 
Howell M. 
Hamalainen N. 
Dennis C. 
Melto Quiah J. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Cabral R. 
Diallo B. 
Lukic S. 
Tambakis A. (G) 
Archimede L. 
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