Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	New York City		Club León

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.62	4.1	4.6	Watch
	1.7	4.23	4.65
	1.72	4.08	4.22	Watch
	1.67	4.19	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.03)	4.1 ↑ (3.69)	4.4 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
56%

Draw
22.8%

Club León
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

New York City - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). León will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 4 - 50%). León (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -2 - NY City (5.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 55.6%). León (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 19. Tanasijevic S. 80. Haak J. 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 8. Perea A. 7. Mercau N. 10. Moralez M. (C) 26. Ojeda A. 16. Martinez A.	12. Jimenez O. (G) 3. Medina P. 21. Barreiro S. 25. Bellon P. 15. Villa O. 20. Echeverria R. 28. Ramirez D. 8. Rigoni E. 10. Rodriguez J. 11. Diaz I. 14. Ayon E.
Substitutes
38. Baiera A. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 11. Fernandez J. 99. Garfield Reid S. 35. Ilenic M. 23. Murray M. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J.	6. Beltran Cruz F. 1. Blanco A. (G) 24. Cisneros C. 27. Estrada A. 4. Fonseca N. 22. Frias A. 18. Funes Mori R. 23. Garcia O. (G) 2. Gauthier V. 7. Moreno I. 26. Reyes S. 19. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Berizzo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Haak J. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Ojeda A. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rodriguez J. (Pen),
59', Barreiro S. 🟨,
60', Medina P. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
60', Ramirez D. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
65', Martinez A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
69', Rigoni E. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
69', Diaz I. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
75', Villa O. ↓, Reyes S. ↑,
80', Mercau N. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
90+4', Funes Mori R. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by NY City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, NY City has had a series of away games.

In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	New York City - Puebla	0:3 ✺
MLS
25.07.25	FC Dallas - New York City	3:4 ✺
19.07.25	Sporting Kansas City - New York City	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Orlando City - New York City	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Charlotte - New York City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWTWL
- Club León
CONCACAF League Cup
29.07.25	CF Montréal - Club León	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Club León - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Club León - Atlético San Luis	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club León	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLL

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