Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 1

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	New York City		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5
	1.72	3.75	4.45	Watch
	1.82	3.75	4.55
	1.80	3.72	4.18	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.82	3.58	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.43)	3.8 ↓ (4.78)	4.66 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
55.3%

Draw
24.6%

Puebla
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

19.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York City's form might have worsened.

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

New York City - Puebla Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Puebla will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Puebla will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (C) 35. Ilenic M. 19. Tanasijevic S. 80. Haak J. 2. Cavallo N. 21. O'Neill A. 32. Shore J. 11. Fernandez J. 7. Mercau N. 26. Ojeda A. 99. Garfield Reid S.	33. Rodriguez J. (G) 3. Rey L. 2. Fedorco J. 6. Diaz N. 15. Guerra E. 24. Organista A. 5. Moyano F. 8. Ramirez M. 21. Gonzalez O. 18. Gamarra P. 19. Marin R.
Substitutes
38. Baiera A. 29. Carrizo M. 24. Gray T. 16. Martinez A. 10. Moralez M. 23. Murray M. 22. O'Toole K. 8. Perea A. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 30. Romero T. (G) 17. Wolf H.	10. Castillo R. 206. Cortes J. 11. Gomez E. 23. Gomez J. (G) 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 302. Gonzalez Mateo 187. Guido Paz D. 17. Lozano E. 7. Monarrez F. 12. Moreno I. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 25. Portales W.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Fedorco J. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
23', Moyano F. 🟨,
23', Moyano F. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
23', Guerra E. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
27', Cavallo N. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Gomez E. ⚽, Organista A. (A),
42', Pachuca Martinez J. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Organista A. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
46', Cavallo N. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
46', Mercau N. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
60', O'Neill A. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
60', Ilenic M. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
65', Garfield Reid S. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
70', Carrizo M. 🟨,
77', Diaz N. 🟨,
85', Rey L. ↓, Guido Paz D. ↑,
85', Marin R. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Gonzalez O. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
90+3', Haak J. 🟨,

Preview

NY City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, NY City has had a series of away games.

In this match, NY City is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
25.07.25	FC Dallas - New York City	3:4 ✺
19.07.25	Sporting Kansas City - New York City	1:1 ✺
16.07.25	Orlando City - New York City	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Charlotte - New York City	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	New York City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWLW
- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
25.07.25	Puebla - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
18.07.25	Mazatlan - Puebla	2:1 ✺
11.07.25	Puebla - Atlas	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Club América - Puebla	2:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
18.04.25	Puebla - Necaxa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

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