Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	New York City		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.10	3.40	2.20
	3.05	3.4	2.25
	3.1	3.62	2.34
	2.89	3.61	2.33	Watch
	3.1	3.55	2.2
	2.99	3.88	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.32)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	2.26 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

New York City
31.4%

Draw
26.6%

Nashville SC
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York City's form might have worsened.

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nashville SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

New York City - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 22. O'Toole K. 8. Perea A. 6. Sands J. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 9. Traore B. 20. Luighi	99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 3. Woledzi M. 4. Palacios J. 27. Baker-Whiting R. 8. Yazbek P. 20. Tagseth E. 11. Saad E. 7. Espinoza C. 9. Surridge S. 10. Mukhtar H. (C)
Substitutes
2. Cavallo N. 27. Flax C. 35. Ilenic M. 88. Jones M. 16. Martinez A. 23. Murray M. 21. O'Neill A. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J.	6. Acosta B. 22. Bauer J. 16. Corcoran M. 2. Lovitz D. 5. Maher J. 14. Mohammed S. 19. Muyl A. 37. Qasem A. 1. Willis J. (G)
Coaches
Jansen P.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Najar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Yazbek P. 🟨,
53', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
66', Yazbek P. ↓, Corcoran M. ↑,
68', O'Toole K. 🟨,
70', Sands J. ↓, O'Neill A. ↑,
76', Luighi ↓, Jones M. ↑,
81', Espinoza C. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
81', Saad E. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
89', Tagseth E. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
89', Najar A. ↓, Lovitz D. ↑,
90', Jones M. 🟨,
90+2', Acosta B. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.

Recent form of NY City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nashville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in NY City: Baiera D. (Knee Injury) Farnos A. (Injury) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) Moralez M. (Knee Injury) O'Neill A. (Ankle Injury) Talles Magno (Muscle Injury) Trewin K. (Ankle Injury) Wolf H. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Madrigal W. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in NY City: Parks K. (Injury) Thiago Martins (Injury)

There are questionable in Nashville: Applewhite C. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, NY City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

New York City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
29.08.26	Toronto FC - New York City	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	New England Revolution - New York City	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Cincinnati - New York City	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	New York City - Philadelphia Union	2:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	New York City - Necaxa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL
- Nashville SC
MLS
29.08.26	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
19.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Monterrey - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.05.26	Nashville SC - New York City	2:1
17.08.25	New York City - Nashville SC	2:1
31.05.25	Nashville SC - New York City	2:2
06.10.24	New York City - Nashville SC	3:1
22.06.24	Nashville SC - New York City	1:0
15.04.23	New York City - Nashville SC	2:1
25.02.23	Nashville SC - New York City	2:0

Upcoming Matches