Match Info

USL League One

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hinchliffe Stadium (Paterson, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	New York Cosmos		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.18
	3.09	3.46	2.21
	3.07	3.76	2.09	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.17
	2.81	3.75	2.24	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.5 (3.5)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Cosmos
31.6%

Draw
26.3%

One Knoxville
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

New York Cosmos - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 4. Chilaka M. 25. Chavez J. 24. Noecker W. 20. Mendonca N. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 7. Ljucovic F. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)	25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 6. Caputo A. 21. Zarokostas S. 17. Goling M. 77. Rosamilia N. 9. Krioutchenkov D.
Substitutes
3. Acosta S. 5. Cabrera N. 1. Chan D. (G) 17. Galazzini D. 23. Materazzi D. 2. Morabito M. 33. Sidoel D. 11. Zielonka N.	13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 7. Diene B. 70. Diop M. 11. Linhares K. 99. Uderitz B.
Coaches
Corti D.	Fuller I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Krioutchenkov D. ⚽, Rosamilia N. (A),
23', Milovanov J. 🟨,
44', Mendonca N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
65', Zarokostas S. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
67', Rosamilia N. 🟨,
71', Rosamilia N. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
72', Chilaka M. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Conway E. ⚽, Krioutchenkov D. (A),
79', Chavez J. 🟨,
81', Tiao C. ↓, Bull ↑,
81', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
82', Conway E. 🟨,
82', Jawneh L. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
89', Milovanov J. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Diene B. ⚽, Goling M. (A),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

One Knoxville may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, New York Cosmos has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	52:36	16	54
16	New York Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40:66	-26	27

Last Results with these Odds

One Knoxville - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Cosmos
USL League One
10.10.26	Charlotte Independence - New York Cosmos	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Naples - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	New York Cosmos - Richmond Kickers	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	New York Cosmos - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
11.10.26	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Richmond Kickers - One Knoxville	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	One Knoxville - Westchester SC	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
13.06.26	One Knoxville - New York Cosmos	3:1

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