Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Paradise Coast Sports Complex (Naples, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Naples		New York Cosmos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.75
	2.04	3.50	2.90
	2.41	3.41	2.81
	2.1	3.8	3.02	Watch
	2.04	3.70	3.00
	2.29	3.63	2.81	Watch
	2.17	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naples
42.2%

Draw
25.9%

New York Cosmos
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

New York Cosmos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naples, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Cosmos than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Cosmos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naples - New York Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delgado L. (C) 3. Cisneros J. 20. Yearwood J. 4. Uderitz H. 8. Osorio J. 11. Garcia C. 21. Torrellas M. 6. Ciss O. 24. Collins T. 14. O'Connor K. 9. Miglietti G.	26. Garcia J. (G) 28. Milovanov J. 23. Materazzi D. 6. Holt A. 5. Cabrera N. 7. Ljucovic F. 15. Ramos O. 19. Jawneh L. 8. Spengler A. 18. Koffi C. 13. Guenzatti S. (C)
Substitutes
19. Arevalo W. 16. Bulai-Tudor A. 30. Cerro I. 10. Ferrin A. 99. Grant J. (G) 45. Likulia N. 5. Mastrantonio L. 23. Mesias A. 22. Yoder J.	3. Acosta S. 1. Chan D. (G) 25. Chavez J. 4. Chilaka M. 17. Galazzini D. 20. Mendonca N. 11. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Gordon Z.	Corti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Torrellas M. ⚽, Miglietti G. (A),
24', Spengler A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Jawneh L. ⚽, Koffi C. (A),
58', Garcia C. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
65', Ramos O. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Ciss O. ⚽, Cisneros J. (A),
73', Ramos O. ↓, Mendonca N. ↑,
73', Cabrera N. ↓, Chilaka M. ↑,
73', Miglietti G. ↓, Cerro I. ↑,
73', O'Connor K. ↓, Mesias A. ↑,
80', Collins T. ↓, Likulia N. ↑,
85', Materazzi D. ↓, Chavez J. ↑,
85', Jawneh L. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
86', Koffi C. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
90+4', Likulia N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 12th and 15th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Naples has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34:44	-10	37
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36:56	-20	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Naples
USL League One
26.09.26	Naples - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Fort Wayne - Naples	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	One Knoxville - Naples	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLL
- New York Cosmos
USL League One
27.09.26	New York Cosmos - Richmond Kickers	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	New York Cosmos - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
02.09.26	New York Cosmos - Sarasota Paradise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
08.07.26	New York Cosmos - Naples	1:0

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