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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 57.7%
Draw 23.7%
Colorado Rapids 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.6%
18.2%
10.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
17.8%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Rapids's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Rapids, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
26.7%
13.3%
New York Red Bulls - Colorado Rapids Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Colorado will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 42.5% – 77.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
NY Red Bulls has the most likely position - 3 (30.89%), has project points - 55, has currently - 36, has a very good chance of playoffs (97%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (4%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Colorado has the most likely position - 10 (14.61%), has project points - 43, has currently - 24, has a chance of playoffs (25%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality45, small importance15, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2.
NY Red Bulls is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Colorado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
NY Red Bulls could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Monzon L.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colorado: Galvan B. A.
(Injury)
Keita A.
(Injury)
Larraz O.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
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