The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 54.4%
Draw 22.1%
New York Red Bulls 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
25.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
25.9%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 50%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 88. Chirila A. 11. Gidi S. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 27. Anunga T. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 10. Evander (C) 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K.
34. Horvath E. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 12. Nealis D. (C) 26. Parker T. 23. Masanka Bungi J. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 4. Berggren G. 7. Cowell C. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 37. Sofo M.
Substitutes
16. Barlow T. 19. Chirila S. 66. Echenique E. 3. Flores G. 99. Jabbari A. 37. Jimenez S. 55. Lajhar A. 13. Louro E. (G) 93. Mrozek F. (G)
39. Benedetti N. 56. Dos Santos M. 10. Forsberg E. 16. Hall J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 20. Mina J. 79. Mosquera R. 11. Ruvalcaba J. 6. Voloder R.
Coaches
Noonan P.
Bradley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Masanka Bungi J. 🟨,
31', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Masanka Bungi J. ↓, Dos Santos M. ↑,
61', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
61', Bucha P. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
62', Berggren G. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
62', Sofo M. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
73', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
78', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
79', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
79', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
85', Donkor R. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
89', Smith K. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Hagglund N.
(Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Hadebe T.
(Injury)
Robinson M.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
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Celentano R. (G) 
Gidi S. 
Bucha P. 
Anunga T. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
Evander (C) 
Mboma K. 
Denkey K. 
Marshall-Rutty J. 
Masanka Bungi J. 
Donkor R. 
Berggren G. 
Chirila S. 
Echenique E. 
Flores G. 
Jabbari A. 
Lajhar A. 
Mrozek F. (G) 
Benedetti N. 
Mina J. 
Mosquera R. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Voloder R. 
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