Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.64	3.7	5.4
	1.74	3.64	5.5
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.71	3.68	5	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.59 ↑ (3.58)	5.26 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Houston Dynamo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

New York Red Bulls - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

NY Red Bulls has the most likely position - 8 (8.8%), project points - 47, currently - 7, a good chance of playoffs (63%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

Houston has the most likely position - 9 (9%), project points - 43, currently - 9, a good chance of playoffs (58%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 39, small importance 21, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Morgan L. (Injury)

There will not play in Houston: Achara I. (Injury) Herrera H. (Red Card) Schmitt T. (Injury) Smith B. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28-28.

Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
08.04.23	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Minnesota United - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWT
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
08.04.23	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Houston Dynamo - New York City	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	New England Revolution - Houston Dynamo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Visit Tucson Sun Cup
15.02.20	New York Red Bulls - Houston Dynamo	1:1
MLS
03.07.19	Houston Dynamo - New York Red Bulls	4:0
29.08.18	New York Red Bulls - Houston Dynamo	1:0
Visit Tucson Sun Cup
17.02.18	Houston Dynamo - New York Red Bulls	5:0
MLS
01.04.17	Houston Dynamo - New York Red Bulls	4:1
19.03.16	New York Red Bulls - Houston Dynamo	4:3
05.06.15	Houston Dynamo - New York Red Bulls	4:2

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