Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: PNC Stadium (Houston)

Referee: Gonzales G. (Usa)


	Houston Dynamo		New York City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.45	3.3	2.85
	2.52	3.38	2.98
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.45	3.4	2.81	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.53)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	2.84 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
38.5%

Draw
28.3%

New York City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Houston Dynamo - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). NY City will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Houston has the most likely position - 14 (14.36%), project points - 40, currently - 3, a chance of playoffs (45%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

NY City has the most likely position - 1 (16.75%), project points - 56, currently - 7, a good chance of playoffs (87%), a small chance of supporters shield (9%), a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 40, small importance 16, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Houston won 2.

Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Houston: Smith B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Houston: Escobar F. (Injury) Valdez X. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Houston won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
18.03.23	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	New England Revolution - Houston Dynamo	3:0 ✺
25.02.23	Cincinnati - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLLW
- New York City FC
MLS
18.03.23	New York City - DC United	3:2 ✺
11.03.23	New York City - Inter Miami	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Chicago Fire - New York City	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Nashville SC - New York City	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.23	New York City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.08.19	New York City - Houston Dynamo	3:2
25.05.18	Houston Dynamo - New York City	3:1
23.09.17	New York City - Houston Dynamo	1:1
Visit Tucson Sun Cup
18.02.17	New York City - Houston Dynamo	1:3
MLS
30.09.16	Houston Dynamo - New York City	0:2
30.05.15	New York City - Houston Dynamo	1:1

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