The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 2 27%
Draw 26%
Indy Eleven 47%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.8%
25.2%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
25.7%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
40%
30%
New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Indy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (69.27%), has project points - 19, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Indy has the most likely position - 8 (27.71%), has project points - 41, has currently - 21, has a chance of playoffs (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, very small importance8, very small match rating7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 1.
In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.
Indy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Indy will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
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