Match Info

Date: 15 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Tulsa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.38	3.55	2.43
	2.43	3.25	2.5
	2.43	3.85	2.55
	2.4	3.3	2.55
	2.36	3.56	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.53)	3.49 ↓ (3.76)	2.52 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
37.9%

Draw
26.1%

Tulsa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

24.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

24%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

New York Red Bulls 2 - Tulsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Tulsa will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tulsa: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (52.15%), has project points - 23, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tulsa has the most likely position - 9 (20.6%), has project points - 39, has currently - 14, has a chance of playoffs (18%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 7, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tulsa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tulsa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
08.06.22	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0 ✺
02.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
27.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
04.06.22	Tulsa - Miami	0:0 ✺
01.06.22	Tulsa - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Louisville City - Tulsa	4:1 ✺
13.05.22	Orange County SC - Tulsa	5:1 ✺
07.05.22	Tulsa - Detroit City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.04.22	Tulsa - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2

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