Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Louisville City		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.22	5.75	9.5	Watch
	1.19	6	9.5
	1.22	5.4	8.8
	1.26	6.08	9.98
	1.23	5.7	10.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)	5.79 ↓ (5.98)	9.61 ↑ (9.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: The CW (WBKI - Louisville)

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
74.7%

Draw
15.8%

New York Red Bulls 2
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

15.4%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: Louisville City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Louisville City has the most likely position - 1 (50.82%), has project points - 68, has currently - 36, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (85%), has a good chance of semis (56%), has a chance of final (34%), has a chance of win league (19%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (70.32%), has project points - 20, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, very small importance 8, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 4.

Louisville City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New York Red Bulls 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Louisville City is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
02.07.22	Louisville City - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Louisville City - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
05.06.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Louisville City - Tulsa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
01.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3 ✺
25.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - New York Red Bulls 2	5:0 ✺
15.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
08.06.22	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0 ✺
02.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.03.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	0:2
21.09.19	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	5:3
16.06.19	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	1:0
02.11.18	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	5:1
10.08.18	New York Red Bulls 2 - Louisville City	4:6
30.06.18	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	3:3
04.11.17	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 penalties

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