Match Info

A-League Women - Round 12

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: No. 2 Sportsground (Newcastle)

Referee: Mackie B. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Newcastle Jets		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.08
	3.11	4.05	2.02	Watch
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.49	3.56	1.99	Watch
	3	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.28)	2.02 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
28.9%

Draw
25.9%

Central Coast Mariners
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.8%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-3%)

Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Central Coast (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leat A. (G) 4. Prior N. 3. Cicco C. 15. Bates E. 23. Karipidis Z. 8. Dundas E. 10. Copus-Brown L. 11. Lancaster C. 44. Brown K. 30. Collins A. 18. Hoban S.	15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 4. Thew B. 18. King 23. Baumann L. 14. Kraszula G. 22. Trimis P. 16. Quilligan T. 7. Prakash A. 26. Di Sipio I. 11. Rasmussen A.
Substitutes
26. Allan J. 13. Allan L. 14. Ayres M. 6. Davis C. 5. Page O. 12. Ritchie G. (G)	13. Buchanan K. 9. Farrow M. 12. Fuller T. 25. Hughes B. 10. Levin T. 30. Varley S. (G)
Coaches
Hoyle S.	Babington K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Di Sipio I. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Brown K. ⚽, Copus-Brown L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Trimis P. ⚽, Prakash A. (A),
66', Kraszula G. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Trimis P. (A),
75', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Ayres M. ↑,
75', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
75', Lancaster C. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
84', Karipidis Z. ↓, Page O. ↑,
87', Prakash A. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
87', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
88', Quilligan T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Newcastle Jets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Coast has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
03.01.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Canberra United	0:1 ✺
19.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
12.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL
- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
07.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	4:1
19.04.25	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2
01.02.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	5:1
28.01.24	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
14.10.23	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	0:1

Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide