Match Info

A-League Women - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Sam Kerr Football Centre (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Perth Glory		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	3.89	4.21	1.85
	3.73	4.26	1.78	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.75
	3.77	3.87	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perth Glory
24.7%

Draw
23.8%

Melbourne Victory
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

24.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

23.9%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morrissey T. (G) 24. Sardo J. (C) 6. Mckenna T. 29. Zogg O. 5. Johnston G. 28. Westaway C. 8. Cassidy G. 3. Tovar E. 17. Badawiya R. 9. Hollar G. 20. Massih E. A.	1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 66. Jancevski A. 6. Ray T. 10. Pollicina R. 23. Lowe R. 9. Furphy H. 16. White K. 7. O'Grady E.
Substitutes
2. Anderson M. 25. Lincoln E. 52. Schroeder D. (G) 12. Trew B. 27. Wainwright C. 16. Wood O.	4. Blissett C. 11. Flannery N. 81. Maher G. 5. Sakalis S. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)
Coaches
Peters S.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bunge C. ⚽, Jancevski A. (A),
39', Morrissey T. 🟨,
39', White K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Badawiya R. ↓, Trew B. ↑,
63', Massih E. A. ↓, Lincoln E. ↑,
68', O'Grady E. ↓, Sakalis S. ↑,
73', Jancevski A. 🟨,
75', Hollar G. ↓, Wood O. ↑,
75', Westaway C. ↓, Wainwright C. ↑,
78', Zogg O. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
82', Pollicina R. ↓, Flannery N. ↑,
82', Jancevski A. ↓, Blissett C. ↑,
90+2', Furphy H. ↓, Maher G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Perth Glory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Perth Glory won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Perth Glory - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.04%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perth Glory Women
Australian A-League Women
27.03.26	Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory	5:2 ✺
21.03.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Adelaide United - Perth Glory	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Newcastle Jets - Perth Glory	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Perth Glory - Canberra United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTLWW
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
28.03.26	Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
30.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0
18.01.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:0
08.12.24	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:1
12.01.24	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:1
18.11.23	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	2:2
06.01.23	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	1:1
11.12.22	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:3

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide