Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 25 January 2023, Wednesday


	Newcastle United U21		Bristol City U21

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.33	1.71
	2.25	4.5	2.25
	3.25	4.91	1.79
	2.25	4.5	2.25
	3.04	3.76	1.98	Watch
	2.6	4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.26)	4.33 ↑ (4)	2.02 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
33.1%

Draw
21.3%

Bristol City U21
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

22.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

22%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United U21's performance.

Bristol City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City U21 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	25%	43.7%

Newcastle United U21 - Bristol City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Newcastle U21 will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Bristol City U21 will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City U21: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Newcastle U21 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bristol City U21 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol City U21 will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bristol City U21 to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
13.01.23	Southampton U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:1 ✺
09.01.23	Newcastle United U21 - Aston Villa U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
19.12.22	Crystal Palace U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:3 ✺
05.12.22	Newcastle United U21 - Sheffield United U21	0:1 ✺
28.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWLL
- Bristol City U21
English Professional Development League
10.01.23	Cardiff City U21 - Bristol City U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
19.12.22	Bristol City U21 - Sheffield United U21	4:1 ✺
05.12.22	Crystal Palace U21 - Bristol City U21	2:5 ✺
28.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Crystal Palace U21	2:2 ✺
21.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Bristol City U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
14.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:0

Newcastle United U21 - Bristol City U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide