The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 57.8%
Draw 26.1%
Newells Old Boys 16.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
28.5%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
26.8%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
10%
40%
Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 19% – 81%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Newells Old Boys (4.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. (C) 6. Quiros A. 18. Escobar S. 5. Baeza C. 29. Aliendro R. 15. Godoy D. 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F.
30. Reinatti J. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 28. Russo J. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 18. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 33. Nunez W. 13. Coccaro M.
Substitutes
35. Arias M. 34. Busso A. (G) 19. Cristaldo L. 49. Dominguez D. 48. Feler L. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 11. Pellegrini M. 47. Pereyra A. 46. Piedrabuena U. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
10. Acuna V. 1. Barlasina W. (G) 25. Cabrera B. 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 19. Gomez J. 27. Herrera L. 3. Luciano M. 38. Noguera F. 6. Ortega M. 99. Ramirez I. 36. Scarpeccio F. 8. Sotelo D.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.
Kudelka F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Regiardo L. 🟨,
15', Nunez W. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
42', Guch F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guch F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
46', Coccaro M. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
52', Goitea N. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Monzon F. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
58', Baeza C. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Ramirez I. ⚽, Mazzantti W. (A),
70', Valdes D. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
71', Herrera L. 🟨,
79', Godoy D. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
84', Russo J. 🟨,
87', Mazzantti W. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
90+2', Quiros A. 🟨,
Preview
Federation decision.
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
Vélez is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 3.
Vélez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Newells Old Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vélez has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Vélez will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).
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Montero A. (G) 
Garcia J. 
Baeza C. 
Mendez A. 
Salcedo S. 
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