Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, HBO Max, TNT Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	3.00
	2.50	3.00	2.90
	2.75	2.90	2.80	Watch
	2.71	3.00	3.13
	2.78	3.05	2.74	Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.95
	2.85	2.92	2.88	Watch
	2.60	2.90	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.88)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	2.92 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
35.3%

Draw
32.3%

Lanús
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Newells Old Boys - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Reinatti J. (G) 6. Ortega M. 17. Giannetti L. 16. Carrizo L. 28. Russo J. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 7. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 32. Solari S. 9. Coccaro M.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 35. De Jesus R. 6. Marcich S. 17. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 8. Watson F. N. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Wlk A.
Substitutes
25. Cabrera B. 24. Escobar F. 19. Gomez J. 27. Gomez L. 4. Montero A. 33. Nunez W. 99. Ramirez I. 39. Rios T. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F. 15. Sonora A.	38. Acosta B. 39. Laplace T. 15. Loaiza R. 42. Lobos G. 40. Lopez T. 10. Marcelino Moreno 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 43. Ramirez M. 27. Sanchez F. 19. Valois Y.
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Giannetti L. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
23', Besozzi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Solari S. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
60', Guch F. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
64', Watson F. N. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
73', De Jesus R. 🟨,
76', Wlk A. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
76', Besozzi L. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
76', Medina A. ↓, Lobos G. ↑,
77', Valois Y. 🟨,
87', Regiardo L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
90', Salvio E. ↓, Laplace T. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Newells Old Boys: Acuna V. (Inactive) Escobar F. (Muscle Injury) Garcia M. E. (Knee Injury) Goitea N. (Hernia) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Salcedo S. (Broken Leg).

Confirmed absences for Lanús: Carrera R. (Inactive) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Romero L. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:24 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Newells Old Boys against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Lanus: 4.32% Newells Old Boys: 2.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.26	Platense - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Newells Old Boys - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Banfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTTTW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.26	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	5:0
05.10.24	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.01.24	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	0:2
26.08.23	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.23	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:0
17.08.22	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:0
20.09.21	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:2

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