Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Newport City		Taffs Well AFC

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.1	4.7
	1.56	4.13	4.18
	1.6	4.26	4.9	Watch
	1.55	4.1	4.76
	1.56	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)	4.14 ↑ (3.94)	4.65 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
58.3%

Draw
22.1%

Taffs Well AFC
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

20.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Newport City - Taffs Well AFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Banner J. D. R. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Graham J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Cotterill J. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Johnson S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
09.11.24	Baglan Dragons - Newport City	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Newport City - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Llantwit Major - Newport City	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Llanelli - Newport City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLTW
- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
25.10.24	Llanelli - Taffs Well AFC	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLL

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