Match Info

Cymru South - Round 3

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Baglan Dragons		Newport City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.2	3.53	2.04
	5.90	4.51	1.46	Watch
	3.3	3.46	1.97
	3.4	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.44)	3.68 ↑ (3.3)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baglan Dragons
24.8%

Draw
25.4%

Newport City
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.4%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Baglan Dragons - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Cooper L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Davies T. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Davies T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
84', 3 - 1, Legavec A. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Kabza G. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 3, McLaggon K. ⚽,

Preview

Newport City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Baglan Dragons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
09.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Cefn Cribwr - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Haverfordwest County - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
09.08.25	Trefelin - Newport City	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Haverfordwest County - Newport City	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
25.07.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Newport City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0
Welsh Cymru South
25.03.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	1:0
09.11.24	Baglan Dragons - Newport City	2:2

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