Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Llantwit Major

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.84
	3.35	3.55	1.85
	3.59	3.78	1.91	Watch
	3.72	3.64	1.8
	3.6	3.6	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (4.54)	3.63 ↓ (4.3)	1.85 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
25.5%

Draw
25.1%

Llantwit Major
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

21.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taffs Well AFC's performance.

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llantwit Major might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taffs Well AFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llantwit Major could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Banner J. D. R. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Banner J. D. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, Johnson S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
25.10.24	Llanelli - Taffs Well AFC	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Baglan Dragons	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
02.11.24	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Carmarthen Town - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Llantwit Major - Newport City	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.08.24	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:1
23.02.24	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	2:2
25.11.23	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	1:3
07.01.23	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	2:2
28.10.22	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	0:1
02.10.21	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:2
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.21	Taffs Well AFC - Llantwit Major	2:1

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