The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 24%
Draw 27.6%
Oldham Athletic 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
26.2%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
25.1%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Cheltenham Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
1. Day J. (G) 5. Wilson J. 30. Willcox F. 19. Mazionis J. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 4. Kinsella L. 8. Young L. 22. Archer E. 21. Hutchinson I. 16. Martin J. 9. Angol L.
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. 8. Woods R. 10. Conlon T. 19. Hannant L. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 28. Mellon M.
Substitutes
20. Bickerstaff J. 14. Broom R. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 7. Pell H. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.
20. Caprice J. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 21. Hawkes J. 18. Morris K. 26. Payne K. 17. Quigley J.
Coaches
Flynn M.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Sutton W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
51', Mazionis J. ↓, Power D. ↑,
54', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
55', Willcox F. 🟨,
60', Young L. ↓, Pell H. ↑,
61', Archer E. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
61', Willcox F. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
73', Mellon M. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Hannant L. (Pen),
79', Martin J. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
84', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
89', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Quigley J. ⚽,
90+4', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Cheltenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oldham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
Oldham could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.69%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.