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Current Win Probability
Newport County 23.2%
Draw 24%
Plymouth Argyle 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
23.3%
58%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
22.3%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Newport County - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. MacDonald S. (G) 2. Evans C. 12. Thomas J. 34. Sassi D. 17. Merritt A. 40. Jarvis C. 8. Smith M. (C) 20. Bamba Y. 18. Lewis A. 7. Evans K. 19. Garner G.
21. Storer J. (G) 29. Sorinola M. 2. Ross M. (C) 3. MacKenzie J. 42. Rendle J. 10. Amaechi X. 19. Bakinson T. 24. Roberts C. 26. Finn T. 38. Campbell S. 17. Watts C.
Substitutes
23. Adu Poku M. 10. Biggins H. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 27. Doidge C. 16. Jacob M. 5. Jenkins L. 1. Wright J. (G)
1. Cooper M. (G) 11. Curtis R. 45. Harding W. 23. Ibrahim B. 14. Irow O. 27. Pepple A. 7. White H.
Coaches
Mullins H.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Evans K. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
39', Watts C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Thomas J. ↓, Jenkins L. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Bamba Y. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Ross M. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
60', Watts C. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
60', Finn T. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
72', Roberts C. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
72', Rendle J. ↓, White H. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
78', Jarvis C. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
79', Evans K. ↓, Adu Poku M. ↑,
82', Garner G. ↓, Doidge C. ↑,
84', Bamba Y. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Bakinson T. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
90+6', Pepple A. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Adu Poku M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, White H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Biggins H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Irow O. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Jacob M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Amaechi X. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Doidge C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pepple A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lewis A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ibrahim B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 3.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
In this matchup, Plymouth is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Newport has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:19 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newport against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
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MacDonald S. (G) 
Evans C. 
Bamba Y. 
Storer J. (G) 
Ross M. (C) 
MacKenzie J. 
Watts C. 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Harding W. 
Pepple A. 
