The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 24.7%
Draw 26.5%
Grimsby Town 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
25.8%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
25.3%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Newport County - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 16. Jacob M. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 23. Adu Poku M. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.
31. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 7. Walker J. 28. Cartwright F. 4. Green K. (C) 29. Shelton M. 30. Vernam C. 9. Morgan I.
Substitutes
20. Bamba Y. 7. Evans K. 19. Garner G. 18. Lewis A. 33. MacDonald S. (G) 8. Smith M. 12. Thomas J.
14. Amaluzor J. 41. Auton S. (G) 39. Cook A. 8. Doyle C. 10. Finch S. 11. Reynolds R. 16. Staunton R.
Coaches
Mullins H.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
36', Shelton M. ↓, Reynolds R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Doidge C. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
59', Morgan I. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
59', Cartwright F. ↓, Finch S. ↑,
63', Cook A. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽, Brennan C. (A),
71', Norman C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
72', Green K. 🟨,
73', Vernam C. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
73', Sweeney J. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
81', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
81', Gwengwe S. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Wright J. (Own goal),
90+2', Jacob M. 🟨,
90+4', Adu Poku M. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Newport has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Grimsby is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
Patten K.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Grimsby: Andrews J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Newport: Davies T.
(Inactive)
Etete K.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Grimsby: Cook A.
(Inactive)
Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newport has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:18 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newport against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Grimsby: 4.36% Newport: 0.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Grimsby
10
3
4
3
13:11
2
13
12
Newport
10
3
4
3
13:12
1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 24.35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Grimsby Town - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Wright J. (G) 
Jenkins L. 
Cameron K. (C) 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Brennan C. 
Pym C. (G) 
Kacurri M. 
Bamba Y. 
Artell D. 
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