Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Newport County		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7
	4.75	3.8	1.66
	4.75	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.24	3.93	1.68
	5.24	3.96	1.68
	4.6	4	1.62
	4.75	3.9	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.94)	3.83 ↑ (3.61)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
19.1%

Draw
24.6%

Stockport County
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Newport County - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 17. Bennett S. 4. Delaney R. 2. Payne L. 28. Baker M. 8. Morris B. 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 5. Clarke J. 7. Evans W. 9. Bogle O.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 7. Southam M. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 11. Powell N. 18. Croasdale R. 27. Bailey O. 3. Touray I. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. 25. Olaofe I.
Substitutes
33. Bondswell M. 26. Maxted J. (G) 18. Rai K. 41. Sanca N. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D.	5. Byrne N. 22. Cotterill J. 2. Knoyle K. 9. Madden P. 26. Richardson J. 12. Smith J. (G) 4. Wright A.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Challinor D.

Preview

Newport is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stockport is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Newport won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
18.11.23	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Newport County - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.10.23	Newport County - West Ham United U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL
- Stockport County
English League Two
18.11.23	Stockport County - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	2:4 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stockport County - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.04.23	Stockport County - Newport County	4:0
12.11.22	Newport County - Stockport County	1:2
English National League
23.03.13	Stockport County - Newport County	1:0
08.09.12	Newport County - Stockport County	0:0
11.02.12	Stockport County - Newport County	N/A

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