Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.2	1.95
	3.5	3.7	1.93
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.58	4.01	1.97
	3.58	4.02	1.97
	3.5	3.7	1.91
	3.55	3.74	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.69)	3.85 ↑ (3.67)	1.94 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
26.7%

Draw
24.5%

Stockport County
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Swindon Town - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Stockport will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahoney M. (G) 22. Godwin-Malife U. 12. Brewitt T. 5. Blake-Tracey F. 2. Hutton R. 8. Khan S. 6. McEachran G. 17. Kokolo W. 10. Kemp D. 7. Young J. 32. Austin C. (C)	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 7. Southam M. 4. Wright A. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 14. Collar W. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 27. Bailey O. 25. Olaofe I. 10. Sarcevic A. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
26. Dworzak A. 14. Genesini B. 11. Hepburn-Murphy R. 23. Kinsella L. 31. Minturn H. 28. Shade T. 44. Ward L. (G)	5. Byrne N. 8. Camps C. 2. Knoyle K. 9. Madden P. 11. Powell N. 12. Smith J. (G) 3. Touray I.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Challinor D.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Swindon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stockport is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stockport will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
07.11.23	Colchester United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Swindon Town - Aldershot Town	4:7 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
24.10.23	Swindon Town - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Salford City - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Stockport County
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stockport County - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Stockport County - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Harrogate Town - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.03.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	0:1
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Stockport County - Swindon Town	4:0
English League Two
27.08.22	Stockport County - Swindon Town	1:1

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