The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 37.9%
Draw 28.4%
Oldham Athletic 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
28%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
26.8%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport County's performance.
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Newport County - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Oldham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Newport (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 18. Shephard L. 4. Baker M. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 17. Davies T. 5. Sprangler S. 2. Evans C. 20. Lloyd B. 10. Biggins H. 7. Kamwa B. 16. Crole J.
1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 40. Simeu D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 7. Taylor K. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 21. Hawkes J. 14. Garner J. 9. Fondop-Talum M.
Substitutes
6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 40. Jarvis C. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 8. Smith M. 21. Spellman M. 12. Thomas J.
31. Donaghy T. (G) 27. Hammond O. 22. Jalo F. 3. Leake J. 38. McMahon-Brown F. 2. Ogle R.
Coaches
Fuchs Ch.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Kamwa B. ⚽, Biggins H. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Sutton W. ⚽, Woods R. (A),
32', Shephard L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
35', 1 - 2, Simeu D. ⚽,
38', Fondop-Talum M. 🟥,
43', Jenkins L. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Davies T. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
46', 2 - 2, Lloyd B. ⚽,
63', Hudson M. ↓, Donaghy T. ↑,
63', Taylor K. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
64', Sutton W. ↓, Ogle R. ↑,
86', Biggins H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
87', Spellman M. 🟨,
90+14', Ogle R. 🟨,
90+15', Kamwa B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+18', Garner J. 🟨,
90+18', 3 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
90+20', Kamwa B. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Recent performances by Newport have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oldham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Daniels D.
(Inactive)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
Thomas J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.41% Newport: 0.42%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Newport
10
3
4
3
13:12
1
13
21
Oldham
9
2
2
5
9:13
-4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Wright J. (G) 
Shephard L. 
Sprangler S. 
Kamwa B. 
Robson J. 
Brennan C. 
Jalo F. 
Ogle R. 
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