Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Mansfield Town		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.4	4.8	6.75
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.4	5.14	7.53
	1.41	5.14	7.53
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.38	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.92 ↑ (4.27)	7.15 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
67.7%

Draw
19.2%

Newport County
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

20.1%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Mansfield Town - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Newport will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 2. Johnson C. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 6. Cargill B. 9. Bowery J. 25. Reed L. 15. Lewis A. 18. Oates R. 10. Maris G. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.	1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 17. Bennett S. 4. Delaney R. (C) 2. Payne L. 11. Waite J. 8. Morris B. 22. Wood N. D. 33. Bondswell M. 7. Evans W. 9. Bogle O.
Substitutes
7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 16. Quinn S. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.	5. Clarke J. 26. Maxted J. (G) 30. Palmer-Houlden S. 41. Sanca N. 21. Thomas O. 38. Young A.
Coaches
Clough N.	Coughlan G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Mansfield is certain favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
11.11.23	Salford City - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Mansfield Town - Everton U21	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
31.10.23	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Mansfield Town - Walsall	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW
- Newport County
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Newport County - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Newport County - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.10.23	Newport County - West Ham United U21	0:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Gillingham - Newport County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.04.23	Newport County - Mansfield Town	1:2
25.10.22	Mansfield Town - Newport County	0:0
19.02.22	Newport County - Mansfield Town	1:1
14.08.21	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:1
09.04.21	Mansfield Town - Newport County	1:1
03.10.20	Newport County - Mansfield Town	2:1
15.02.20	Mansfield Town - Newport County	1:0

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