Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 28

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)

Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)


	Newry City		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.35
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.48	3.2	2.29
	2.87	3.36	2.51
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.59	2.39	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.38 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
33.8%

Draw
27.5%

Ballymena United
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Newry City - Ballymena United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newry City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ballymena United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mitchell C. (G) 16. Bagnall L. 20. Ball S. 44. Doyle B. 24. Forde L. 3. Healy N. 2. King D. (C) 4. McGivern R. 5. McKeown B. 14. Salley A. 33. Scullion D.	1. O'Neill S. (C) 28. Boyle D. 29. Brown S. 39. Mccallion D. 11. McCullough S. 36. McCurry C. 27. McMurray J. 2. Nelson K. 31. Robinson J. 4. Rocks D. 16. Taylor F.
Substitutes
8. Carroll A. 1. Maguire S. (G) 6. McCaffrey F. 42. McDonagh J. 11. McGovern J. 49. McGovern P. 38. Poynton G.	35. Barr B. 26. Johnston S. (G) 38. Leddy M. 17. McGrory A. 30. Place M. 33. Stewart N. 21. Tennant L.
Coaches
Gray B.	Ervin J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Newry City won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Newry City - Newington	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.01.24	Larne - Newry City	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Newry City - Cliftonville	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.01.24	Ballymena United - Loughgall	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	2:4 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Queens University Belfast - Ballymena United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
08.12.23	Newry City - Ballymena United	0:0
07.10.23	Ballymena United - Newry City	0:2
22.04.23	Newry City - Ballymena United	2:2
24.01.23	Ballymena United - Newry City	0:0
08.11.22	Newry City - Ballymena United	3:2
04.11.22	Ballymena United - Newry City	3:0
Northern Irish Cup
26.04.22	Ballymena United - Newry City	1:0

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