Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)


	Newry City		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.68
	4.33	3.75	1.7
	4.25	4.02	1.75
	4.25	4.03	1.75
	4.2	3.75	1.67
	4.13	3.81	1.73
	4.3	3.85	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (4.02)	3.86 ↓ (4.01)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
21.9%

Draw
24%

Carrick Rangers
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

22.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Newry City - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newry City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carrick Rangers will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mitchell C. (G) 24. Forde L. 3. Healy N. 2. King D. (C) 6. McCaffrey F. 4. McGivern R. 11. McGovern J. 27. O'Brien A. 7. O'Connor C. 38. Poynton G. 14. Salley A.	1. Glendinning R. (G) 10. Allen C. 20. Cherry K. 7. Cushley D. (C) 2. Forsythe K. 24. Gibson D. 6. Gordon S. 8. Mitchell A. 30. Teelan J. 39. Tilney B. 5. Watson A.
Substitutes
16. Bagnall L. 8. Carroll A. 44. Doyle B. 42. McDonagh J. 49. McGovern P. 18. Moan S. 36. Mooney J.	15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 18. Graham S. 11. Maciulaitis N. 12. Mackinnon L. 25. McCauley B. (G) 9. McGuckin E. 3. Stewart C.
Coaches
McVeigh D.	King S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 1 - 0, O'Connor C. ⚽,
15', Mitchell A. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Allen C. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Cushley D. (Pen),
45+1', McCaffrey F. 🟥,
45+4', 1 - 3, Gibson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cushley D. ↓, Maciulaitis N. ↑,
58', Gordon S. 🟨,
77', Stewart C. ↓, Mackinnon L. ↑,
77', Tilney B. ↓, Buchanan-Rolleston B. ↑,
78', Allen C. ↓, McGuckin E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 4.

Newry City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carrick Rangers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carrick Rangers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carrick Rangers is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Newry City won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Premiership
13.04.24	Newry City - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Glenavon - Newry City	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Newry City - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Linfield - Newry City	6:0 ✺
09.03.24	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLLW
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
13.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Dungannon Swifts - Carrick Rangers	3:2 ✺
02.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Linfield	2:3 ✺
16.03.24	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
09.03.24	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:1
22.12.23	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	0:1
Northern Irish League Cup
07.11.23	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	2:3 penalties
Northern Irish Premiership
12.08.23	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:2
07.04.23	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:2
10.02.23	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	0:2
12.11.22	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	4:1

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