Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Nice		Benfica

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.35
	2.88	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.95	3.46	2.43
	2.99	3.50	2.31	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.3
	2.9	3.68	2.33	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
32.5%

Draw
27.2%

Benfica
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	20.3%	66.2%

Nice - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 10 - 14.3%). Benfica will win (votes: 45 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 53.1% – 75.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Benfica (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (24 of 32 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Benfica (votes: 27 - 77.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Juma Bah A. 4. Dante (C) 92. Clauss J. 11. Sanson M. 6. Boudaoui H. 26. Bard M. 19. Bouanani B. 9. Moffi T. 21. Jansson I.	1. Trubin A. (G) 17. Dedic A. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 8. Aursnes F. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 21. Schjelderup A. 9. Ivanovic F. 14. Pavlidis V.
Substitutes
23. Bernardeau G. 7. Boga J. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 14. Brahimi B. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 36. Koutoune H. 20. Louchet T. 49. Nguene B. 37. Peprah K. 8. Rosario P.	39. Araujo H. 18. Barreiro L. 50. Ferreira D. (G) 61. Florentino 47. Gouveia T. 3. Obrador R. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 86. Prioste D. 71. Santos L. 24. Soares S. (G) 68. Veloso J.
Coaches
Haise F.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Sanson M. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
30', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
33', Schjelderup A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dante ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
66', Schjelderup A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
77', Barrenechea E. ↓, Florentino ↑,
77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
77', Ivanovic F. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
79', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
79', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
79', Louchet T. 🟨,
85', Mendy A. 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Florentino ⚽, Dahl S. (A),
89', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Nice - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	St. Pauli - Nice	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Feyenoord - Nice	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Nice - Aubagne	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Nice - Brest	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- SL Benfica
Portuguese Super Cup
31.07.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Benfica - Fenerbahçe	3:2 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Benfica - Chelsea	1:4 ET ✺
24.06.25	Benfica - Bayern Munich	1:0 ✺
20.06.25	Benfica - Auckland City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.22	Benfica - Nice	3:0
27.07.13	Benfica - Nice	2:1

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