Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Nice		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3.75	4.2
	1.8	3.65	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.85	3.95
	1.86	4	4.21
	1.8	3.7	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.98	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	3.82 ↑ (3.67)	4.21 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
52.4%

Draw
25%

Dijon
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

20.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dijon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	4.2%	9.6%

Nice - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Nice will win (144 of 167 users predict this - 86.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81% – 91.46%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2).

Nice has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Nice is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dijon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nice is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nice won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Nice won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Nice - Slavia Prague	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.11.20	Nice - Monaco	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Slavia Prague - Nice	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.20	Angers - Nice	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Nice - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
22.11.20	Dijon - Lens	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Metz - Dijon	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Dijon - Lorient	0:0 ✺
24.10.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	4:0 ✺
16.10.20	Dijon - Rennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.19	Nice - Dijon	2:1
31.03.19	Dijon - Nice	0:1
25.08.18	Nice - Dijon	0:4
10.02.18	Dijon - Nice	3:2
05.11.17	Nice - Dijon	1:0
04.03.17	Dijon - Nice	0:1
18.12.16	Nice - Dijon	2:1

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