Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Nice		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.5	4.75	5.75
	1.5	4.65	5.85
	1.49	4.3	6
	1.54	4.48	6.09
	1.47	4.4	6.5
	1.54	4.6	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.48)	4.56 ↓ (4.68)	6.14 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
63.6%

Draw
20.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

12%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beer Sheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	5.7%	20.5%

Nice - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 65 - 73.9%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 18 - 20.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 64.7% – 83.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Nice has a chance of round of 32 (30%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has a chance of round of 32 (47%), has a small chance of round of 16 (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Nice is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Beer Sheva in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hapoel Beer Sheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nice is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
25.10.20	Nice - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Nice	6:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.20	Saint-Étienne - Nice	1:3 ✺
03.10.20	Nice - Nantes	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Bordeaux - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWWT
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
25.10.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Slavia Prague	3:1 ✺
01.10.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
24.09.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
17.09.20	Laçi - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWWWW

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