Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Bordeaux		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.25	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3.25
	2.42	2.85	3.25
	2.33	2.9	3.15
	2.46	2.87	3.6
	2.35	2.88	3.3
	2.32	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.37	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
39.5%

Draw
32%

Le Havre
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Bordeaux - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Le Havre will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 2 (28.68%), has project points - 67, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (52%), has a chance of win league (21%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (59.51%), has project points - 73, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (82%), has a good chance of win league (60%).

This event has quality 44, very big importance 100, big match rating 72. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Havre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Dijon - Bordeaux	0:3 ✺
13.01.23	Bordeaux - Amiens	1:1 ✺
10.01.23	Caen - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
28.01.23	Amiens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Le Havre - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Le Havre - Bordeaux	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
09.01.19	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:0
Coupe De France
06.01.19	Bordeaux - Le Havre	0:1

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