Match Info

Superliga - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nordsjælland		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.00	4.10	Watch
	1.77	3.90	3.90
	1.76	4.00	3.90
	1.79	4.12	4.25
	1.78	4.08	4.08	Watch
	1.75	4.15	4.20
	1.77	4.05	4.15	Watch
	1.77	4.00	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.12)	4.04 ↑ (3.6)	4.07 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordsjælland
53.5%

Draw
23.3%

AGF Aarhus
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordsjælland's performance.

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AGF Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordsjælland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AGF Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nordsjælland (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nordsjælland will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nordsjælland (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ankersen P. 25. Nelsson V. 4. Markmann N. 23. Norheim R. 18. Janssen J. (C) 6. Brink M. 5. Lahteenmaki J. 10. Amoako P. 11. Lind A. 14. Adel I.	21. Hedenstad M. (G) 25. Rosler C. 3. Gretarsson D. L. 19. Kahl E. 29. Carstensen R. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 39. Emmery F. 8. Jorgensen S. 18. McCowatt C. 13. Serra J.
Substitutes
29. Berthelsen V. 22. Eriksson C. (G) 47. Heyde M. 40. Rasmussen H. 35. Rutkjaer V. 37. Sadio L. 9. Solbakken O. 42. Tuka M. 28. Walker M.	26. Andersen J. 23. Anderson M. 31. Bech T. 28. Bogere J. 33. Callo L. 1. Hansen J. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 14. Molgaard T. 7. Solbakken M.
Coaches
Olsen J.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Norheim R. 🟨,
18', Arnstad K. 🟨,
42', Kahl E. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Adel I. ↓, Rasmussen H. ↑,
59', Brink M. ↓, Heyde M. ↑,
60', Serra J. ↓, Bech T. ↑,
60', Carstensen R. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
68', Olsen J. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Lind A. ⚽, Lahteenmaki J. (A),
77', Emmery F. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
78', McCowatt C. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
79', Amoako P. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
79', Lind A. 🟨,
89', Knudsen M. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Rasmussen H. ⚽, Janssen J. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 1.

Nordsjælland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aarhus is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nordsjælland has had a series of away games.

Recently, Aarhus has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nordsjælland is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Nordsjælland: Alio S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Aarhus: Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Yakob K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nordsjælland: Mohammed A. (Knee Injury) Salquist T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Haugstrup O. (Inactive) Kristjansson T. (Inactive) Links G. (Inactive) Tingager F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Nordsjaelland	10	5	3	2	14:10	4	18
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nordsjælland
Danish Superliga
07.09.26	Midtjylland - Nordsjælland	2:2 ✺
03.09.26	Copenhagen - Nordsjælland	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Nordsjælland - Brøndby	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	St. Gallen - Nordsjælland	2:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.08.26	SønderjyskE - Nordsjælland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWWW
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
05.09.26	AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
02.09.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Randers FC - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.08.26	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
23.04.26	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	1:1
10.04.26	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	1:1
24.10.25	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	1:0
28.09.25	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	1:2
16.05.25	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0
30.03.25	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	2:0
22.11.24	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	1:0

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