Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nordstrand		Heming

	1	X	2
	2.87	4.20	1.85
	3	4.25	1.83
	2.92	4.44	1.79
	2.99	4.73	1.85	Watch
	2.85	4.35	1.75
	3.13	4.33	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.3)	4.38 ↓ (4.83)	1.81 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordstrand
30.2%

Draw
20.4%

Heming
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

19%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

18.4%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordstrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Heming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heming than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heming could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nordstrand - Heming Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 3rd).

Nordstrand is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Heming is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Heming for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nordstrand has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Heming	25	15	5	5	66:40	26	50
13	Nordstrand ✔	25	6	2	17	36:60	-24	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.10.26	Gamle Oslo - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Nordstrand - Vålerenga 2	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Asker Fotball - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nordstrand - Lokomotiv Oslo	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- IL Heming
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.10.26	Heming - KFUM 2	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Konnerud - Heming	5:5 ✺
26.09.26	Heming - Ullern	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Grei - Heming	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Heming - Frigg Oslo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
04.04.26	Heming - Nordstrand	3:0

Nordstrand - Heming