Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	North Carolina		One Knoxville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.8	6.75	Watch
	1.36	5.39	6.53
	1.35	5.2	5.95	Watch
	1.32	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	5.07 ↑ (4.87)	6.61 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
68.2%

Draw
18%

One Knoxville
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

18.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

17.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

North Carolina - One Knoxville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Thompson B. (G) 2. Young C. 24. Garcia D. 6. Fernandes G. 3. Blanco N. 13. Perez L. 44. Sommersall R. 7. Arriaga L. 14. Mentzingen R. 19. McLaughlin G. 10. Servania J.	1. Lewis S. (G) 55. Claudio G. 13. Fernandez D. 3. McDowell K. 16. Thomas J. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. van der Pluijm Y. 12. Johnson C. 9. Castro R. 91. Calixtro G. 11. Ross F.
Substitutes
4. Croll L. 22. Flick M. 61. Lumsden K. 5. Navarro D. 59. Ntalu N. 88. Popp P. 12. Saunders T. (G)	23. Fletcher S. 10. Ilic I. 15. Santos L. 22. Swinkels P. (G) 14. Villalobos J. 21. Vowinkel M. 18. Waldeck D.

Preview

North Carolina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

One Knoxville is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

North Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match North Carolina is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL League One
07.10.23	Lexington - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	North Carolina - Union Omaha	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Central Valley Fuego - North Carolina	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	North Carolina - South Georgia Tormenta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWL
- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
06.10.23	One Knoxville - Richmond Kickers	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
08.07.23	One Knoxville - North Carolina	2:2
03.06.23	One Knoxville - North Carolina	0:1

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