The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
One Knoxville 52.5%
Draw 25.8%
Richmond Kickers 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
26.8%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
21.6%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with One Knoxville that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
One Knoxville - Richmond Kickers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 5. McLeod S. 6. Caputo A. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 21. Zarokostas S. 12. Johnson C. 17. Goling M. 11. Calixtro G. 10. Tekiela K.
1. Jara P. (G) 4. Fitch S. 17. Vaughan J. 14. Guilherme Diniz 5. Schenfeld M. 2. Barnathan D. 3. Anderson H. 27. O'Dwyer C. 10. Seufert N. 19. Espinal D. 9. Kirkland J.
Substitutes
7. Diene B. 14. Doyle M. 25. Garibay J. (G) 24. Lemen N. (G) 77. Rosamilia N. 29. Smith K.
20. Billhardt A. 38. Garnett G. 34. Howell B. 18. Kanagwa J. 41. Richman A. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 32. Terzaghi E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Goling M. ⚽, Smith K. (A),
28', Baer R. 🟨,
34', Caputo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Diene B. ⚽,
63', Ritchie S. 🟨,
64', Kirkland J. ↓, Garnett G. ↑,
65', Fitch S. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
65', Baer R. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
65', O'Dwyer C. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
65', Schenfeld M. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
68', Caputo A. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
68', Diene B. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
68', Smith K. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
73', Ritchie S. ↓, Bull ↑,
84', Brown J. ↓, McLeod S. ↑,
90+6', Lage M. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ))
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Richmond Kickers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, One Knoxville is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
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Lewis S. (G) 
Brown J. 
Skelton J. 
Caputo A. 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Zarokostas S. 
Goling M. 
Tekiela K. 
Jara P. (G) 
Guilherme Diniz 
Diene B. 
Doyle M. 
Kanagwa J. 
Terzaghi E. 
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