Match Info

Mineiro - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque do Sabiá (Uberlândia)


	Uberlândia		North Esporte Clube

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.68	Watch
	2.56	3.2	2.7
	2.56	3.07	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.49	3.02	2.65	Watch
	2.54	3.14	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.45)	3.08 ↓ (3.08)	2.68 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uberlândia
36.2%

Draw
29.7%

North Esporte Clube
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uberlândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

North Esporte Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Uberlândia - North Esporte Clube Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson Luis (G) 2. Ben-Hur 4. Max Miller 27. Rayne Assis 6. Nathan 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 7. Marcos Calazans 8. Tomas Bastos 26. Ingro 11. Leo Reis 9. Julio Rodrigues	31. Yago Oliveira (G) 2. Lucas Mota 4. Bruno Bispo 13. Diego Guerra 6. Foguinho 8. Evanderson 55. Ferreira (C) 17. Gabriel Rossetto 20. Serginho 30. Yuri Merlim 94. Bruno Lopes
Substitutes
30. Aranha (G) 13. Cesar J. 20. Dudu Albaceta 18. Geovane 19. Jaco 17. Juan Carlos 15. Longatto 22. Luis Felipe 12. Pedro Caracoci (G) 16. Rafael Conceicao 14. Renan 21. Robinho	14. Carlos Ventura 10. Christian 91. Clayton 21. Gabriel Santiago 35. Patrick Santos 92. Rafael Pin (G) 28. Rennan Siqueira 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson
Coaches
Lucio F.	Kleberson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Marcos Calazans ⚽, Diego Fumaca (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Gabriel Rossetto (Penalty Awarded),
68', Yuri Merlim ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
74', Marcos Calazans ↓, Robinho ↑,
74', Ingro ↓, Geovane ↑,
74', Evanderson 🟨,
79', Gabriel Rossetto ↓, Clayton ↑,
79', Serginho ↓, Wandinho ↑,
83', Julio Rodrigues ↓, Jaco ↑,
84', Diego Guerra 🟨,
86', Nathan 🟨,
90', Bruno Lopes ↓, Ulisses ↑,
90+10', Foguinho 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uberlândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	Uberlândia - Pouso Alegre	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Uberlândia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Uberlândia - Itabirito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 LWWTL
- North Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.26	América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
21.01.26	Tombense - North Esporte Clube	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3

Uberlândia - North Esporte Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide