Match Info

Mineiro - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Credinor (Montes Claros)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	North Esporte Clube		Uberlândia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.17	3.19	3.37
	1.94	3.36	3.67	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	2.17	3.1	3.51	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Esporte Clube
45.4%

Draw
28.7%

Uberlândia
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Esporte Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Uberlândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Rafael Pin (G) 26. Leo Gobo 13. Diego Guerra 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Lucas Mota 8. Evanderson 5. Camacho (C) 6. Foguinho 91. Clayton 17. Gabriel Rossetto 94. Bruno Lopes	1. Jefferson Luis (G) 2. Ben-Hur 4. Max Miller 27. Rayne Assis 6. Luis Felipe 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 7. Marcos Calazans 8. Geovane 10. Tomas Bastos 11. Leo Reis 9. Da Silva
Substitutes
14. Carlos Ventura 11. Felipe Marques 55. Ferreira 21. Gabriel Santiago 35. Patrick Santos 28. Rennan Siqueira 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson 30. Yuri Merlim	30. Aranha (G) 13. Cesar J. 18. Dudu Albaceta 19. Jaco 21. Juan Carlos 20. Julio Rodrigues 15. Longatto 12. Pedro Caracoci (G) 16. Rafael Conceicao 14. Renan 17. Robinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Camacho 🟨,
25', Clayton 🟨,
30', Rayne Assis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Clayton ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
73', Da Silva ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
73', Geovane ↓, Rafael Conceicao ↑,
81', Max Miller 🟨,
90+1', Max Miller ↓, Renan ↑,
90+1', Evanderson ↓, Patrick Santos ↑,
90+1', Camacho ↓, Ferreira ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Recent performances by North have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uberlândia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uberlândia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

North might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, North won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Uberlândia - North Esporte Clube	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	América Mineiro - North Esporte Clube	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWW
- Uberlândia EC
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Retrô Brasil - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Uberlândia - North Esporte Clube	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Uberlândia - Pouso Alegre	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.26	Uberlândia - North Esporte Clube	1:1
07.02.26	North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia	2:3

North Esporte Clube - Uberlândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide