Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	North Leigh		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	4.6	4	1.53
	5	4.2	1.42
	4.6	4.1	1.54
	4.83	4.37	1.56
	6	4.2	1.42
	5.1	4.25	1.51
	4.5	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (6.7)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Leigh
18.3%

Draw
21.6%

Chesham United
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

20.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

19.4%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Leigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Leigh than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Leigh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Leigh - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

North Leigh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chesham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches North Leigh won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Leigh
English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Swindon Supermarine - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Tiverton Town - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	North Leigh - Poole Town	0:4 ✺
22.11.22	Winchester City - North Leigh	2:2 ✺
19.11.22	North Leigh - Hendon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	0:3 ✺
06.12.22	Yate Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
03.12.22	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Gosport Borough - Chesham United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Chesham United - North Leigh	1:0
English FA Cup
10.10.15	Chesham United - North Leigh	2:0

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