The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Texas 35.7%
Draw 24.8%
Houston Dynamo 2 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
24.5%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
24%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Texas's performance.
Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Dynamo 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Texas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Dynamo 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Texas - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 26. Starnes S. 53. Vejrostek L. 27. Swann C. 10. Nys E. 32. Martins L. 15. Louis R. 16. Simmonds N. 50. Garcia D.
35. Erb L. (G) 14. Betancourt N. 23. Barrett D. 4. Ukaegbu C. 12. Silva V. 8. Gustavo Dohmann (C) 11. Bell J. 17. Herrera D. 33. Dimareli M. 7. Brummett A. 39. Mohammad S.
Substitutes
12. Biggar J. 4. Charles I. 25. Gibson J. 14. Goncalves L. 11. James N. 46. Kaakoush I. 19. Luccin M. 57. Montoya N. (G) 6. Pela U.
16. Alan 46. Cottle T. 31. Estrada Jr J. 44. Gardner M. 43. Kerimov R. (G) 6. Rivera G. 15. Vitor Andre 49. Walsh K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Simmonds N. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Starnes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo Dohmann ↓, Rivera G. ↑,
63', Bell J. ↓, Cottle T. ↑,
67', Louis R. ↓, Pela U. ↑,
69', Mohammad S. 🟨,
74', Brummett A. ↓, Walsh K. ↑,
74', Mohammad S. ↓, Alan ↑,
75', Silva V. 🟨,
82', Silva V. ↓, Vitor Andre ↑,
90+3', Nys E. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
90+3', Garcia D. ↓, Charles I. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Rivera G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Simmonds N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vitor Andre (Penalty Awarded),
2, Luccin M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Walsh K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pela U. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Herrera D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Charles I. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Betancourt N. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Houston Dynamo 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 1.
North Texas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.7:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 2.7:2.6).
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Dymora E. (G) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Nys E. 
Louis R. 
Simmonds N. 
Charles I. 
James N. 
Luccin M. 
Pela U. 
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