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Current Win Probability
North Texas 34.4%
Draw 25.2%
Minnesota United 2 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
24.8%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
23.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.
Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
North Texas - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 26. Starnes S. (C) 14. Goncalves L. 27. Swann C. 10. Nys E. 18. Ospina T. 15. Louis R. 16. Simmonds N. 36. Baran D.
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 35. Tarnue P. 31. Dang N. (C) 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 75. Cruz H. 90. Pechota L. 36. Friedman J. 95. Vigilante S. 17. Randell D. 39. Hille L.
Substitutes
12. Biggar J. 21. Flowers B. 25. Gibson J. 11. James N. 46. Kaakoush I. 19. Luccin M. 56. Martinez D. (G) 23. Sedeh S. 53. Vejrostek L.
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 51. Grulke C. 50. Harwood M. 92. Kabia A. 48. Maynes W. 84. Osagie N. 46. Perkins K. (G) 64. Saidi I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Tarnue P. ⚽,
45+3', Rizvanovich K. 🟨,
45+4', Simmonds N. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 1 - 1, Louis R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Pechota L. 🟨,
56', Tarnue P. ↓, Kabia A. ↑,
61', Louis R. 🟨,
64', Simmonds N. ↓, James N. ↑,
64', Randell D. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
64', Cruz H. ↓, Harwood M. ↑,
68', Farris J. 🟨,
76', Hille L. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
76', Vigilante S. ↓, Maynes W. ↑,
79', Goncalves L. ↓, Vejrostek L. ↑,
79', Louis R. ↓, Flowers B. ↑,
79', Baran D. ↓, Sedeh S. ↑,
90', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
90+2', Dang N. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Clarkson J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, James N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Farris J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nys E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Friedman J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ospina T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Adebayo-Smith J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Swann C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Pechota L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Newman E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
North Texas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Minnesota 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Minnesota 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:8. (average 2.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 4.2:0.8).
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Dymora E. (G) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Nys E. 
Louis R. 
Simmonds N. 
Baran D. 
Tarnue P. 
James N. 
Luccin M. 
Kabia A. 
Osagie N. 
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