The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 22.1%
Draw 25.3%
Doncaster Rovers 52.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
27.8%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
27.1%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 35. Dyche M. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 14. Fornah T. 8. McGeehan C. 4. Campbell D. 17. Jacobs M. 9. Eaves T. 7. Hoskins S.
29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 27. Grehan S. 5. Pearson M. 23. Senior J. 22. Gotts R. 7. Molyneux L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 18. Lee E. 15. Clifton H. 47. Adelakun H.
Substitutes
15. Evans J. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 10. List E. 26. McAdam K. 3. McCarthy C. 11. Swyer K. 23. Taylor T.
8. Broadbent G. 12. Byrne N. 1. Clark Z. (G) 33. Close B. 11. Gibson J. 9. Hanlan B. 16. Nixon T.
Coaches
Calderwood C.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Burroughs J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, Adelakun H. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
59', Campbell D. 🟨,
64', Jacobs M. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
64', Eaves T. ↓, List E. ↑,
69', Lo-Tutala T. 🟨,
69', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
73', Burroughs J. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
73', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, McAdam K. ↑,
73', Campbell D. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
75', Clifton H. ↓, Broadbent G. ↑,
82', Molyneux L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
82', Lee E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
86', Evans J. 🟨,
90', Adelakun H. ↓, Close B. ↑,
90+1', List E. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 3, Broadbent G. ⚽, Hanlan B. (A),
90+5', Gotts R. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, McGeehan C. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
Northampton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Doncaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Doncaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Doncaster is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Doncaster: Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sharp B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Byrne N.
(Inactive)
We predict that Doncaster will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Doncaster
12
3
3
6
13:16
-3
12
Outrights of English League One for now
Doncaster: 0.76%
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.31%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Burge L. (G) 
Burroughs J. 
Fornah T. 
McGeehan C. 
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Grehan S. 
Clifton H. 
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