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Current Win Probability
Stockport County 65.6%
Draw 20.3%
Northampton Town 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
22.4%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
17.9%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Stockport County - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 7. Diamond J. 26. Norwood O. (C) 27. Bailey O. 23. Osborn B. 9. Olaofe T. 19. Wootton K. 28. Stokes J.
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 24. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 3. McCarthy C. 8. McGeehan C. 14. Fornah T. 7. Hoskins S. 26. McAdam K. 21. Perkins J. 9. Eaves T.
Substitutes
4. Bate L. 14. Edun T. 48. Gardner C. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 11. Mothersille M. 5. Olowu J. 29. Sidibeh A.
35. Dyche M. 22. Edwards K. 15. Evans J. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 17. Jacobs M. 23. Taylor T. 27. Vale J.
Coaches
Challinor D.
Nolan K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
11', Olaofe T. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', McCarthy C. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽, Stokes J. (A),
63', Burroughs J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
72', Olaofe T. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
72', Osborn B. ↓, Edun T. ↑,
72', Stokes J. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
74', Hoskins S. 🟨,
79', Guthrie J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
79', Eaves T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
81', Fornah T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
90+2', Bailey O. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
In this match, Stockport is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
United-kingdom
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Addai C. (G) 
Dacres-Cogley J. 
Norwood O. (C) 
Burroughs J. 
McCarthy C. 
Fornah T. 
Sidibeh A. 
Taylor T. 
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