The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 28%
Draw 29.2%
Wigan Athletic 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
29%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
28.7%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Northampton Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 24. Moore E. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 26. McAdam K. 7. Hoskins S. 8. McGeehan C. 4. Campbell D. 23. Taylor T. 15. Evans J. 17. Jacobs M.
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 17. Smith M. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 6. Weir J. 8. Wright C. 7. Murray F. 11. Costelloe D. 10. Taylor J.
Substitutes
35. Dyche M. 9. Eaves T. 22. Edwards K. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 14. Fornah T. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 21. Perkins J.
43. Bettoni H. 3. Fox M. 44. Hungbo J. 20. McManaman C. 30. Savin T. (G) 9. Saydee C. 25. Vickers C.
Coaches
Calderwood C.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Carragher J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Wright C. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Guthrie J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hoskins S. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
46', McGeehan C. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
66', Jacobs M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
72', Costelloe D. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
78', Edwards K. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
78', Taylor T. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Evans J. ⚽, McAdam K. (A),
83', Wright C. 🟨,
85', Taylor J. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Aimson W. ⚽,
90', Carragher J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
90', Wright C. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
Northampton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Wigan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
Wigan could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Northampton: List E.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Hunt J.
(Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McHugh H.
(Inactive)
Rogers J.
(Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Francois T.
(Inactive)
We predict that Wigan will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Wigan: 0.57%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
24
Wigan
8
1
1
6
5:13
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.95%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.