The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 73.7%
Draw 16.6%
Northampton Town 9.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65%
21.1%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
20%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.2%
10.5%
5.3%
Luton Town - Northampton Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 38. Johnson J. 27. Richards J. 8. Walsh L. 18. Clark J. 32. Lawrence E. 54. Palmer K. 21. Wells N.
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 35. Dyche M. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 14. Fornah T. 8. McGeehan C. 4. Campbell D. 17. Jacobs M. 9. Eaves T. 7. Hoskins S.
Substitutes
12. Al Hamadi A. 30. Kodua G. 14. Morris S. 4. Sandal S. 23. Saville G. 1. Shea J. (G) 6. van den Berg D.
15. Evans J. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 10. List E. 3. McCarthy C. 11. Swyer K. 23. Taylor T. 27. Vale J.
Coaches
Wilshere J.
Calderwood C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Eaves T. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Walsh L. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Richards J. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
62', McGeehan C. 🟨,
66', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
71', Burroughs J. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
72', Fornah T. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
72', Jacobs M. ↓, List E. ↑,
76', McCarthy C. 🟨,
77', Guthrie J. 🟨,
82', Clark J. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
82', Lawrence E. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
82', Hoskins S. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
82', Eaves T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Naismith K. ⚽,
90', Walsh L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
90+1', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
90+4', Keeley J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
Luton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Northampton has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Luton is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: List E.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Jones I.
(Injury)
We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
United-kingdom
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Keeley J. (G) 
Lonwijk N. 
Andersen M. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Johnson J. 
Palmer K. 
Wells N. 
Fornah T. 
McGeehan C. 
Al Hamadi A. 
Sandal S. 
Taylor T. 
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