The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 56.3%
Draw 25.7%
Colchester United 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
25.5%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
0%
5.9%
Northampton Town - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Northampton has the most likely position - 4 (6.86%), has project points - 71, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Colchester has the most likely position - 1 (11.67%), has project points - 77, has currently - 0, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
This event has small quality16, importance45, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 3.
Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Northampton is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Northampton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.