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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 23.8%
Draw 28.8%
Luton Town 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
27.5%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
26.1%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
44.4%
33.3%
Northampton Town - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Northampton (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 18. Forbes M. 15. Thorniley J. 21. Perkins J. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 16. Wormleighton J. 11. Swyer K. 14. Fornah T.
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 33. Bramall C. 15. Mengi T. 3. Naismith K. (C) 23. Saville G. 30. Kodua G. 18. Clark J. 22. Dabo L. 27. Richards J. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
1. Burge L. (G) 22. Edwards K. 36. Evans O. 17. Jacobs M. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 6. Willis J.
5. Andersen M. 25. Jones I. 37. Nelson Z. 20. Nordas L. . Odoffin H. 1. Shea J. (G) 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Nolan K.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Perkins J. 🟨,
26', Wormleighton J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
40', Dabo L. 🟨,
45+1', Swyer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Naismith K. 🟨,
60', Clark J. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
67', Perkins J. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
67', Swyer K. ↓, Wheatley E. ↑,
73', Kodua G. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Dabo L. ⚽, Jones I. (A),
87', Lonwijk N. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
87', Richards J. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Northampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Luton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Dyche M.
(Inactive)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
List E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Thigh Injury)
McCarthy C.
(Inactive)
McGeehan C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Lonwijk N.
(Inactive)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
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Fitzsimons R. (G) 
Forbes M. 
Taylor T. 
Campbell D. 
Fornah T. 
Keeley J. (G) 
Lonwijk N. 
Dabo L. 
Wells N. 
Andersen M. 
Jones I. 
Nordas L. 
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